Energy markets jolted after Iran shifted focus to infrastructure, prompting the shutdown of a Qatari LNG plant following drone incidents. Gas prices jumped, risk premia rose for shipping and insurance, and traders moved to safe assets as Western forces continued regional operations.

Iran mounted retaliatory operations against Israel and US Gulf partners after the killing of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, leaving three US troops dead and five injured. The US said its campaign is ahead of schedule, while disrupted shipping routes threaten higher global energy prices.

Greens captured Gorton in a by‑election, taking the seat from Labour and denting Starmer’s authority. Some Labour MPs urged a shift left, but the leadership signalled no change. The PM vowed to counter “extremes” as parties assess the result’s implications for strategy.

UK gilt sales are expected to decline for the first time since 2023, easing borrowing costs and giving Reeves a modest fiscal boost. Banks see lower issuance and yields, while the Treasury signals continued discipline to avoid any perception of a licence to spend.